The
pessimism
of
the Israeli intelligence
Usually the
news noys are not very encouraging, at least the
items that are being pushed down our throats day
and night, or 'every hour on the hour' (as the
famous CNN slogan goes). However when one reads
the 'fine print', one sees that which the Jewish
'western media' does not focus upon. And that
which is not focused upon in that "western
media" is more likely than not good news, at
least from our perspective.
According to
an article in "Maarev" (an Israeli newspaper),
issue of April 13th, 2000, it summarized the
pessimistic picture that the Israeli
Intelligence sources have painted after the
deteriorating "peace process" with the Syrians,
the same "deterioration" that now is spreading
to all fronts as the following:
Iran:
Its economy is getting better, there is no
change as far as Khatami's position towards
Israel, it is building up its army and going
ahead with its attempts to increase its
un-traditional combat capabilities.
Hizb
Allah: Intensifies its training, which in
turn has increased in un-precedented fashion its
military support to it, a support that is
expected to increase (passing through Syria) in
the next few months. It has every intention to
escalate its attacks against Israeli military
targets in South of Lebanon even after Israeli
withdrawal.
Egypt:
Although trying to keep a basic minimum of
'good' relations with Israel, is also going
ahead in its build up of its army, with
un-precedented US aid!
Jordan:
In its "non allied" policy, is following a
cautious 'wait and see' approach, a 'friendly'
country with its king attempting to keep its
relations with Israel on 'low heat' while
strengthening his country's ties with the Arabic
countries.
Iraq:
Is regaining and developing its strength
anew, its economy is somewhat recovering. And if
the sanctions were to be lifted all together,
then within few years it will be capable of
coming back as a 'dangerous' country with
nuclear capabilities. It uses the help of highly
advanced western countries, and highly paid
western advisors, as far as Saddam's regime, it
seems stable at the moment.
The
Palestinians: Yasser Arafat is determined
now more than ever to declare unilaterally an
"independent" Palestinian State, a matter which
could lead to a violent dispute between the
Israelis and the Palestinians. This declaration
is to be expected within the near future if no
new breakthroughs are to be achieved on the
Palestinian/Israeli negotiations.
"Terrorism":
1)
inside Palestine, Hamas (the Islamic resistance
movement) is restructuring itself, with an
increasing co-operation with the Israeli
Arabs.
2)
outside Palestine, 3 of Hamas's leaders who were
expelled from Jordan are going in and out of
Syria freely, however without establishing their
head-quarters there.
It is
interesting, very interesting indeed, that
the Israelis see our strength, and consequently
fear us as the real danger -that we are- to
their un-just and colonial presence in our
midst, more so than we ourselves are willing to
realize. When I say "we" however, I mean our
ruling so called elite, our politicians, and
worst of all our so called
intelligentsia.
I think they
fear us yes, but not just because of what they
listed in their "Maariv", which could be very
much true, but basically and fundamentally
because as Yasser Arafat (the old Yasser, the
Yasser before "Soha Arafat"!, and Oslo) said it
a long time ago: "history is on our side, we
have a just cause, and history has always proved
time and again to be on the side of those with a
just cause".
Bent
Misr
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